Data indicates strong activity in industrial real estate market

From CoStar’s 2014 Mid-Year Report.
The Chicago Industrial market ended the second quarter
2014 with a vacancy rate of 8.5%. The vacancy rate was
down over the previous quarter, with net absorption
totaling positive 2,303,618 square feet in the second quarter.
Vacant sublease space increased in the quarter, ending the
quarter at 1,416,465 square feet. Rental rates ended the second
quarter at $5.23, an increase over the previous quarter. A
total of five buildings delivered to the market in the quarter
totaling 1,708,735 square feet, with 7,721,186 square feet still
under construction at the end of the quarter.
Absorption
Net absorption for the overall Chicago Industrial market
was positive 2,303,618 square feet in the second quarter 2014.
That compares to positive 327,193 square feet in the first quarter
2014, positive 6,177,633 square feet in the fourth quarter
2013, and positive 1,375,931 square feet in the third quarter
2013

.ship data
Tenants moving out of large blocks of space in 2014
include: Quantum Foods, LLC moving out of (269,591) square
feet at 550 W North Frontage Rd, Silgan Containers moving
out of (187,850) square feet at 1191 Lake Ave and Channel
Distribution moving out of (165,762) square feet at CMD
Business Park.
Tenants moving into large blocks of space in 2014 include:
Pactiv Corporation moving into 898,560 square feet at
Pinnacle Business Center, Ferrara Candy Company moving into
747,152 square feet at Carlow Corporate Center, and Midwest
Warehouse & Distribution System moving into 650,494 square
feet at Carlow Corporate Center.
The Flex building market recorded net absorption of positive
84,263 square feet in the second quarter 2014, compared
to positive 287,109 square feet in the first quarter 2014, positive
54,574 in the fourth quarter 2013, and positive 212,314 in the
third quarter 2013.
The Warehouse building market recorded net absorption
of positive 2,219,355 square feet in the second quarter 2014
compared to positive 40,084 square feet in the first quarter
2014, positive 6,123,059 in the fourth quarter 2013, and positive
1,163,617 in the third quarter 2013.
Vacancy
The Industrial vacancy rate in the Chicago market area
decreased to 8.5% at the end of the second quarter 2014. The
vacancy rate was 8.7% at the end of the first quarter 2014,
8.7% at the end of the fourth quarter 2013, and 9.0% at the
end of the third quarter 2013.
Flex projects reported a vacancy rate of 12.1% at the end
of the second quarter 2014, 11.9% at the end of the first quarter
2014, 12.3% at the end of the fourth quarter 2013, and 12.4% at
the end of the third quarter 2013.
Warehouse projects reported a vacancy rate of 8.3% at
the end of the second quarter 2014, 8.5% at the end of first
quarter 2014, 8.4% at the end of the fourth quarter 2013, and
8.8% at the end of the third quarter 2013.Rental Rates
The average quoted asking rental rate for available
Industrial space was $5.23 per square foot per year at the end
of the second quarter 2014 in the Chicago market area. This
represented a 1.0% increase in quoted rental rates from the
end of the first quarter 2014, when rents were reported at $5.18
per square foot.
Rental rates
The average quoted rate within the Flex sector was $10.31
per square foot at the end of the second quarter 2014, while
Warehouse rates stood at $4.91. At the end of the first quarter
2014, Flex rates were $10.33 per square foot, and Warehouse
rates were $4.87.accounting for 276,031,840 square feet of Industrial
space.
ServeAttachment-3.ashx

Sales Activity
Tallying industrial building sales of 15,000 square feet
or larger, Chicago industrial sales figures fell during the first
quarter 2014 in terms of dollar volume compared to the fourth
quarter of 2013.
In the first quarter, 91 industrial transactions closed
with a total volume of $539,789,301. The 91 buildings totaled
13,210,857 square feet and the average price per square foot
equated to $40.86 per square foot. That compares to 154
transactions totaling $637,990,562 in the fourth quarter. The
total square footage was 15,821,506 for an average price per
square foot of $40.32.
Total year-to-date industrial building sales activity in 2014
is up compared to the previous year. In the first three months
of 2014, the market saw 91 industrial sales transactions with
a total volume of $539,789,301. The price per square foot has
averaged $40.86 this year. In the first three months of 2013,
the market posted 85 transactions with a total volume of
$232,203,922. The price per square foot averaged $31.84.
Cap rates have been lower in 2014, averaging 7.37%,
compared to the first three months of last year when they
averaged 8.56%.

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CNBC’s Ron Insana @ SIOR conference

ImageEnjoyed CNBC’s Ron Insana’s session at the Society of Industrial and Office Broker’s World Conference in Las Vegas last week.

Couple items I took away:

1.  2013 was the largest single year increase in oil production in US history.  Oil production increased over 1 million barrels a day.

2. Inexpensive energy specifically Natural gas (CNG and LNG) is one of the significant drivers of resurgent manufacturing in the United States.

3.Regulation isn’t all that bad.  The last financial crisis 2007/2008 was largely due to a lack of supervision, particularly in lending practices and “institutional games.”

4.  Education is critical to creating jobs and opportunity in the US.  Laborers need more portable skills.  Underemployment in the US is due to under educated workers.

5.  Household value in US is $83 Trillion, debt is $17 Trillion or 20% of household value.

6. Home ownership peaked at 69% in 2008, first boomed after WWI due to gov’t subsidies to promote home ownership.

 

Alternative Fuels…OMG its LNG and CNG

Alternative Fuels 227 x 190Enjoyed Jared Stedl’s comments  at the Intermodal Association of Chicago dinner on March 4, 2013.

What I learned:

1.  Cost

  • Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) is 40% cheaper than diesel.  $4.15/gallon for diesel vs $2.25/gallon for CNG or Liquified Natural Gas (LNG).
  • CNG engines can be cost more than $35,000 more than a diesel engine.
  • 18 month – 3 year payback to switch from CNG from Diesel.

2.  Fleets

  • 20% of all US buses use LNG or CNG
  • 50% of all waste hauler orders from the factory are CNG

3.  Environmental Impact

  • NG reduces up to 30% of the CHG and 85% of the particulate matter…this is good

4.  Challenges

  • Still to early for to provide definitive cost benefit analysis.
  • NG vehicles require more maintenance.
  • Limited locations to get the fuel, typically customized for the user on their site.